There are a number of questions about the New Hampshire primary
She’s not afraid of Trump or Biden – but she does know how to win and what they want to tell us about the White House
No Republican has been able to win the nomination without their home state. But Haley insists she knows how to win in South Carolina and will have plenty of time to build up momentum. Before she ever gets that chance, Trump wants to knock her out. He says that it’s time to unify the Republican party behind the front runner.
Even if she were to win New Hampshire, Ben Ginsberg, a retired GOP attorney who is a leader in the nominating process, says the deck is already stacked against her.
“It seems like it’s going down party lines if it’s gonna be Biden or Trump,” she said. “And I don’t think anyone feels that great about those choices. But this is what we got. Maybe not.
“Do you want to be scared in November or not?” she asks in a call and response near the end of her stump speech. “Do you want your kids to be proud in November or not? Let’s do it.
Haley is imploring voters to give her a chance to stop Biden and Trump, since they seem to want them both in the White House.
Nikki Haley: The Only One Who Can Move America Forward to Vote in the Primary. She vowed to be Strong in Iowa, and she quit her job in 2008
Since the beginning of last year, $77.5 million has been spent on campaign ads targeting the state in the GOP primary, according to data compiled by the ad-tracking firm AdImpact and analyzed by NPR, as of Sunday afternoon. In the past week, more than $10 million has come in for a state that allocates 22 delegates or less.
“And now we have a chance to reset the election for our entire country,” he says. “Nikki is the only one who can beat Donald Trump to move America forward.”
That is, he said, “If enough Republicans and independents get a sense of sanity back and are less interested in drama and just pettiness. We’re tired of being petty. And that’s what Nikki Haley would take away from where we are today.”
On the second day in a row, the former South Carolina governor spoke of her ability to win the hearts and minds of Republican voters.
It’s not clear which poll she was referring to, but she mentioned a hypothetical general election result. There are no polls showing her ahead of Trump in New Hampshire. At multiple daily events in the lead up to the primary, Haley has tried to connect one on one with potential supporters, including 10-year-old Hadley Craig.
“I have told you from the very beginning and been very consistent: I said I wanted to be strong in Iowa. I feel like we did that,” Haley snapped back at reporters when asked about her path to victory.
In 2008, it was the reverse. Clinton got emotional as she answered a question from a voter. She may have made a change in her fortune in the Granite State as a result of that.
The Rise And Fall Of The Old Muskie-Mumford Model, A Brief History From 1948 To The Present, and Towards the Future
“It changed people’s minds about me, of what kind of guy I was,” Muskie said of the moment. “They were looking for a strong, steady man, and here I was, weak.”
A couple of examples stand out. The hoax letter was planted by Richard Nixon’s campaign. It falsely accused a leading Democratic candidate, Edmund Muskie, of using an ethnic slur that led Muskie to (maybe) cry in a public outburst, while also defending his wife, whom a local newspaper accused of liking “to tell dirty jokes and smoke cigarettes.”
“The presidential primary election shall be held on the second Tuesday in March or on a date selected by the secretary of state which is 7 days or more immediately preceding the date on which any other state shall hold a similar election …”
“Until 1948, the New Hampshire primary, like most of the small number of other primaries in the country, listed only the names of locals who wanted to be delegates to the convention on the ballot. In 1948, the Speaker of the New Hampshire House decided to make the primary more interesting and meaningful. There would be more people at the polls. He passed a law allowing citizens to vote for the candidates of their choice.
That had an impact on not just Democratic politics, but the GOP, too. The primary process was changed by the Democrats. New Hampshire’s first-in-the-nation status was threatened as more states gained influence.
In 1968, during the Vietnam War, President Lyndon Johnson’s narrow win over Eugene McCarthy was an early barometer of his unpopularity with his party. It was decided that LBJ wouldn’t run. McCarthy had a lot of popularity with anti-war Democrats, but they snubbed him at the 1968 Democratic convention. The situation in Chicago worsened after the party named Humphrey as its nominee, and police fought protesters outside the convention hall.
It had an almost immediate impact. Harry Truman lost the New Hampshire primary in 1952 as the Korean War continued. He decided against running for reelection. Eisenhower became the Republican Party’s nominee after being seen as the party’s choice by the establishment.
It’s why former New Hampshire Gov. John Sununu used to say about the two early nominating states that “Iowa picks corn; New Hampshire picks presidents.”
It has been a good indicator of who will win the GOP nomination. Six of the eight New Hampshire winners went on to win the Republican nomination after an incumbent president didn’t get on the ballot. In that same stretch, only three Iowa winners became the nominee — and none of the last three.
Bill Clinton was once dubbed the “Comeback Kid” due to a second-place finish in 1992 that earned him the nomination. Sixteen years later, Clinton’s wife, Hillary Clinton, was trailing Barack Obama in the polls after his surprise Iowa win. In New Hampshire, Hillary Clinton won. The New Hampshire win gave a new life to her campaign and resulted in a long, drawn-out primary fight.
This is maybe the biggest difference from the Iowa caucuses. Not only is this a state-run primary, rather than party-run caucuses, New Hampshire also allows independents, or undeclared voters, to cast a ballot in either the Republican or Democratic primary.
In addition to being generally a more moderate, suburban and less religious set of Republican voters than in Iowa, undeclared voters make up almost 40% of the state’s registered voters.
Even though most of the coverage has centered around the leading Republican candidates, there will be two dozen names that New Hampshire voters will see, including candidates who have already dropped out of the race. (Here’s a sample ballot.)
21 people, including Paperboy Love Prince and Vermin Supreme, are a similar number for Democrats. Who it won’t include is President Biden.
New Hampshire’s primary won’t be counted in this year’s Democratic primary, because the Democratic Party demoted it in favor of South Carolina, which propelled Biden to the 2020 nomination.
There is, however, an active write-in campaign for Biden, which the party establishment has to hope wins. Otherwise, it would be a major black eye for the president.
Source: 10 questions about the New Hampshire primary, including, ‘Can anyone beat Trump?’
The New Hampshire Primary: How Popular Was It When John Kasich Overheeled Donald Trump in 1968-2016, and How Many Maltes Does It Take?
Phillips, a wealthy former co-owner of Talenti Gelato, and a group supporting him have spent $5 million in ads in New Hampshire, including one employing Big Foot, or at least a man in a Big Foot outfit … or is it?
There will be a record turnout for the GOP primary, according to the Secretary of State. The Republican turnout record is 282,979 set in 2016. New Hampshire traditionally has been one of the states with the highest participation rates in the country.
This is an example where it predicted the eventual Republican candidate in every election from 1968 to 2012 and became famous. It was broken when it supported John Kasich over Trump. The town is situated only 20 miles away from the Canadian border. The vote for Kasich was not unanimous.
Because the 221 towns in the state have flexibility in their opening and closing times, a few of the most sparsely populated towns have used that to gain some attention by beginning voting at midnight.
All polling places must be open from at least 11 a.m. until 7 p.m. ET at a minimum, according to the Secretary of State’s office. Some locations have extended hours, but the polls will close by 8 p.m. Here you can find the hours of each polling location.
Source: 10 questions about the New Hampshire primary, including, ‘Can anyone beat Trump?’
Turning the tide: Donald Trump wins the primary ballot, but Haley does not – nor does he – will be the nominee for the presidency
A poll of New Hampshire voters was taken last week. According to a majority of Republicans and Republican leaning independents, Trump should have immunity from criminal prosecution because of his actions as president.
While New Hampshire certainly features a more moderate electorate than Iowa, there may be a ceiling to Haley’s potential support. New Hampshire has offered surprises before Tuesday’s presidential election, and they have turned the tide.
Almost the entire Republican Party believes Trump will now be the nominee again and is rallying around him, excluding a minority of ex-candidates and his former U.N. ambassador, Nikki Haley.
Former President Donald Trump won the Iowa caucuses in a blowout last week, confirming his dominance with conservatives. Candidates have dropped out and endorsed Trump, including Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who did so on Sunday.
The party will award its delegates based on the caucus. Trump will be on that ballot, but Haley won’t. Haley will be on the primary ballot, but Trump won’t.
On February 24, it is South Carolina. Less than one million dollars has been spent there compared to Iowa and New Hampshire, which have had over eight million dollars spent.
If that happens it could mean Trump wraps up the nomination by late March. As the song says, it will be for anyone not named Trump, all over, but the crying.