The giant UK programme to lower people’s blood-sugar levels really worked

The global, regional and national burden and trend of diabetes: analysis of 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2025 in the United States and Canada

The analysis of more than two million health records shows that a nationwide programme to prevent diabetes lowers blood sugar levels and encourages weight loss among the people referred to it.

Lin, X. et al. Global, regional and national burden and trend of diabetes in 195 countries and territories: an analysis from 1990 to 2025. Sci. Rep. 10, 14790 (2020).

Participants in the English programme have to attend at least 13sessions during which they are counseled on how to eat a healthy diet and maintain a healthy weight. Eligibility for the programme is determined by blood sugar level: once this biomarker climbs above a certain threshold, a person is considered prediabetic and at high risk of developing diabetes.

A group of people, including a doctor, used the cut-off point to conduct an experiment. People with scores slightly below the threshold are rarely referred to the programme — even though there is no such sharp boundary in biological diabetes risk.

Even small drops in blood sugar can be good for cardiovascular health, and the study was not able to determine whether participants went on to develop type 2 diabetes.

Overall, the outcome is similar to those found in clinical trials and smaller evaluations of prevention programmes, says Earle Chambers, an epidemiologist at the Albert Einstein College of Medicine in New York City. Less than one-third of people who are referred to the programme actually start it, and fewer still complete it, is a concern.

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Data-driven statistical inference in regression-discontinuity designs from Calonico, Cattaneo and Farrell. R package v.2.1.0 (2022).

The lower layer of the output area was used for the clinical group. This is where to find it in England. The office of national statistics has a look-up of the lower-layer super-output area.

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National Diabetes Audit. Other reports and statistics are included. NHS Digital https://digital.nhs.uk/data-and-information/publications/statistical/national-diabetes-audit (2018).

Source: Quasi-experimental evaluation of a nationwide diabetes prevention programme

Systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled interventions for reversing prediabetes: a systematic review and a case study

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Weight management in primary care: a meta-ethnographic synthesis of clinicians’ perceptions and experiences – a review

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