The New York Times had a detailed explanation of why Haley could win in New Hampshire

What is the Game for the Chris Christie Voter if it is a Super PAC or an Anti-Trump Republican? A Comment on the Case in New Hampshire

Chris Christie was described in a mailer as the only anti-Trump Republican and it was coming from Trump’s super PAC. The true anti-Trump Republican. On the other side, there was a mailer that described another woman as a Republican. The mailer was a bit late. So what is the psychology of the Chris Christie voter that has been left at the altar?

What are they going to do for moderate Republicans and Democratic-leaning independent voters in this area? Do they see Haley as a bridge too far because in a lot of ways she’s a rather conventional Republican, or do they desire so much to take it to Trump? Is it possible they want to cause pain at the ballot box in order to cast a vote for Haley? I agree with Christie that the only game in town for those Christie voters is Haley. But it’s a quadrennial event; people get caught up in the excitement. If it really does come down to one or the other, Haley or Trump, that could be hard to resist because what we’ve seen play out in New Hampshire generally speaking during the Trump years is, it’s rocket fuel for the opposition.

Coaston: In September you wrote, “It’s exceedingly difficult to find a campaign here trying to build something that connects with citizens, that makes its presence known in communities.” Is that the case in New Hampshire? What has changed in the primary system over time? I know those are two questions, but just kind of wanted your take about that.

I think Haley was trying to make the most strides in building local organization since I wrote that of the campaigns out there. I saw a few Trump canvassers this week. The difference between Haley and it now is that the local organization would’ve started months earlier.

He said the delegate math indicated the race was over. Even if she does win in New Hampshire, she will still have a rocky road ahead of her. She will have to win her home state of South Carolina at the end of February.

Ben Ginsberg, a retired Republican attorney and expert on the nominating process, says that even if she won New Hampshire, the deck was already stacked against her.

If it is Biden or Trump, it seems like it is going down party lines. I don’t believe anyone feels good about those choices. This is what we get. Maybe not.

Nikki Haley and her Super PACs are Ready to Reconquer Donald Trump in New Hampshire’s Nominating Primary

“Do you want to be scared in November or not?” she asks in a call and response near the end of her stump speech. “Do you want your kids to be proud in November or not? Let’s do it.

That is among the $31 million in ads Haley and her allied super PACs have run in New Hampshire. 5 million dollars have been spent in the last week according to an NPR analysis of Ad Impact data. Trump and his allies have spent about half as much.

“And now we have a chance to reset the election for our entire country,” he says. “Nikki is the only one who can beat Donald Trump to move America forward.”

That is, he said, “If enough Republicans and independents get a sense of sanity back and are less interested in drama and just pettiness. We think we’re tired of pettiness. And that’s what Nikki Haley would take away from where we are today.”

Tuesday’s New Hampshire primary could be one of the last chances for a truly competitive race for the Republican nomination. Although it is only the second primary in a months-long nominating process, Nikki Haley is now the only major candidate left challenging former President Donald Trump.

At a New Hampshire Grill a couple of days earlier, she made her case that she is the most electable Republican in the race.

It isn’t clear which poll she was talking about, though she was talking about a general election result. There are no public polls that show her ahead of Trump. At multiple daily events in the lead up to the primary, Haley has tried to connect a potential supporter with another.

I told you from the beginning I wanted to be strong in Iowa. I feel like we did that,” Haley snapped back at reporters when asked about her path to victory.