There is an opinion by Lukashenko that he proves once a tool and always a tool

The Anatomy of Vladimir Putin During the June 24th Birthday of Yevgeny Prigozhin: The Campaign to End the Armed Mutiny in Belarus

Belarus’s president, Aleksandr Lukashenko, is trying to get our attention. He is making the rounds in the media to credit himself for brokering an end to the armed mutiny in Russia. The strongman of the country proudly announced that he would not hesitate to use the first Russian tactical nuclear weapons.

Mr. Lukashenko is a tool of Kremlin policy but is not an independent actor. He can only hope that this service to Mr. Putin at a time of need will ensure that the Kremlin keeps him ensconced in power and continues to tolerate his braggadocio.

This year was no different. The partying went without a hitch, and the president had flown in from the yacht of one of his closest friends. On June 24th, Yevgeny Prigozhin launched his mutiny, so that was strange. Despite the shock of the rebellion, which saw Wagner forces march to within 125 miles of Moscow unimpeded, Mr. Putin flew to St. Petersburg. He would attend his favorite party even if he were to be shot.

Mr. Putin was certainly culpable in allowing the situation to get out of hand. First, he encouraged Mr. Prigozhin, tacitly allowing him to recruit widely — including from prisons — for the war in Ukraine and to take a prominent position on the battlefield, particularly in the fight for Bakhmut. The calculation was not based strictly on military tactics. Mr. Prigozhin was clearly elevated to act as a counterweight to the defense minister, Sergei Shoigu, and the military generals, ensuring they didn’t become too popular. The president did not do anything to stop Mr. Prigoshkin’s criticism of the military leadership.