I don’t understand why it’s too early to say that DeSantis is done

A Brief Look at the Times Donald W. Bush’s Almost Inflationary Breakup and the Propagation of Abortion in Florida

You might want to think again if you are tempted to write him off. The history of primary elections is littered with candidates who are written off, only to surge into contention. Herman Cain was briefly a front-runner. Joe Biden and John McCain are the early front-runners who were written off. Even Barack Obama spent six months struggling and trailing an “inevitable” Hillary Clinton by double digits.

If he is supposed to be Trump without the unnecessary drama, why did it take so long for him to get involved in a spat with Disney? He must have been annoyed by the corporation publicly opposing his bill. He’s easily annoyed. Even though he wanted to make a big manly show of his contempt for the Mouse, there was no need for him to punish Disney because the legislation was going to pass anyway. He was interested in drama. So there goes that rationale as well.

I don’t know what he was thinking when he signed a ban on most abortions in Florida after six weeks of pregnancy. That is a liability for the Christian conservatives, but it is a liability with the moderates and independents after that point. It steps hard on DeSantis’s argument that he’s the version of Trump who can actually beat President Biden. It flattens the pitch into a pancake.

While it’s easy to see Mr. DeSantis’s decline over the last few months as a sign of profound weakness, the volatility of the polling can also be interpreted to mean there’s a large group of voters open to both candidates. They might be prone to lurch one way or the other, depending on the way the political winds are blowing.

Can Trump’s Comeback Survive the Political Crises of the Social Media Attacks on the Establishment of President Donald J. Trump?

The fact that he could mount a comeback does not mean that he will come back. He would have had a chance to be televised live on multiple networks in favor of a feature that he doesn’t even know how to use, but instead decided to announce his bid on social media. And even if his campaign is ultimately run differently than it has been so far, it’s not clear that even a perfectly run Republican campaign would defeat Donald J. Trump — at least if the former president survives his various legal challenges politically unscathed.